Chapter 13: The Distribution of Income(*)
For more than a century socialist writers have leveled two main
charges against capitalism: 1. It is not productive (or only wastefully
productive, or far less productive than some imaginable socialist system would
be). 2. It leads to a flagrantly unjust "distribution" of the wealth that it
does produce; the workers are systematically exploited; "the rich get
richer and the poor get poorer."
Let us consider these charges. That the capitalist system
could ever have been accused of being unproductive, or of being very
inefficiently. productive, will seem incredible to most economic students of the
present day, familiar with the record of the last generation. It will seem even
more incredible to those familiar with the record since the middle of the
eighteenth century. Yet the improvement in that early period remained hidden
even from some astute contemporary observers. Thomas Malthus in 1798 (the date
of the first edition of his Essay on Population) seemed hardly aware of
the productive transformation already achieved in the first half of the
Industrial Revolution. (1)
Yet much earlier, in 1776, Adam Smith had shown keen
awareness of improvement: "The uniform, constant, and uninterrupted effort
of every man to better his condition ... is frequently powerful enough to
maintain the natural progress of things toward improvement, in spite of the
extravagance of government, and of the greatest errors of administration. " (2)
Smith rightly attributed this progress to the steady increase
of capital brought about by private saving -- to the "addition and improvement
to those machines and instruments which facilitate and abridge labor."
To form a right judgment of this progress, he continued,
"one must compare the state of the country at periods somewhat distant from
one another. [So as not be deceived by short periods of recession.] ... The
annual produce of the land and labor of England, for example, is certainly much
greater than it was a little more than a century ago at the restoration of
Charles II." And this again was certainly much greater "than we can suppose it to have been about a hundred years before," at the accession of Elizabeth. Quite early in The Wealth of Nations we find Smith referring to the conditions of his own
period as being comparatively, as a result of the increasing division of labor,
a period of "universal opulence which extends itself to the lowest ranks of
the people." (3)
If we leap ahead another century, we find the economist
Alfred Marshall writing in the 1890s:
The hope that poverty and ignorance may gradually be
extinguished, derives indeed much support from the steady progress of the
working classes during the nineteenth century. The steam engine has relieved
them of much exhausting and degrading toil; wages have risen; education has been
improved and become more general. A great part of the artisans have ceased to
belong to the lower classes' in the sense in which the term was originally used;
and some of them lead a more refined and noble life than did the majority of the
upper classes even a century ago. (4)
Statistical Comparisons
For more recent years we have the great advantage of getting
beyond more or less impressionistic comparisons of economic progress to fairly
reliable statistical comparisons. Our chief care here must be to avoid making
such comparisons in terms of dollar income at current prices. Because of the
continuous monetary inflation in the United States since the 1930s, this would
give a very misleading impression. To get a true picture of the real improvement
in production and welfare, in so far as these are measurable, allowance must be
made for price increases. Statisticians do this by deflating recent prices and
incomes in accordance with index numbers of average prices -- in other words, by
making their comparisons in terms of so-called "constant dollars."
Let us begin with some over-all figures. In the 59 years
between 1910 and 1969 it is estimated that the real gross national product of
the United States (the GNP) increased at an average rate of 3.1 percent a year
compounded. (5) At such a rate the production of the country has been
more than doubling every 24 years. Let us see how this has looked expressed in billions of 1958 dollars:
Year |
GNP |
1929 |
$203.6 |
1939 |
209.4 |
1949 |
324.1 |
1959 |
475.9 |
1969 |
727.1 |
Source: Department of Commerce. |
In the ten years from 1939 to 1949, then, the real gross
national product of the country increased 55 percent; in the twenty years from
1939 to 1959 it increased 127 percent; in the thirty years from 1939 to 1969 it
increased 242 percent.
If we now express this in terms of disposable per capita
personal income (at 1958 prices) for these same years, the comparison is less
striking because we are allowing for the growth in population, but the progress
is still remarkable:
Year |
Per capita income |
1929 |
$1,236 |
1939 |
1,190 |
1949 |
1,547 |
1959 |
1,881 |
1969 |
2,517 |
Source: Department of Commerce. |
In other words, disposable per capita personal income at constant prices
increased 112 percent -- or more than doubled -- in the generation from 1939 to 1969.
This disposes effectively of the charge that capitalism is
unproductive, or unacceptably slow in increasing production. In the thirty years
from 1939 to 1969 the United States was still the most capitalistic country in
the world; and the world had never before witnessed anything comparable with
this vast production of the necessities and amenities of life.
Which Groups Gain Most?
The foregoing figures do nothing, it is true, to answer the
charge that capitalism distributes its gains unjustly -- that it benefits only the
already rich, and leaves the poor, at best, no better off than they were before.
These charges are at least partly answered, however, as soon as we compare the median
incomes of families in constant (1969) prices:
Year |
Families (millions) |
Median Income |
1949 |
39.3 |
$4,779 |
1959 |
45.1 |
6,808 |
1969 |
51.2 |
9,433 |
Source: Department of Commerce. |
As the median income means that there were just as
many families earning more than the amount cited as those earning less, it
follows that the 97 percent increase of median real incomes in this twenty-year
period must have been shared in by the mass of the people.
Other sets of figures confirm this conclusion. If we compare
weekly wages paid in manufacturing, we find that these rose from $23.64 in 1939
to $129.51 in 1969 -- an increase of 448 percent. As the cost of living was
constantly rising during this period, this of course greatly exaggerates labor's
gains. Yet even after we restate these wages in terms of constant (1967) prices,
we find the following changes in average gross weekly earnings:
Wages |
Year
(in 1967 prices)
|
1939 |
$ 56.83 |
1949 |
75.46 |
1959 |
101.10 |
1969 |
117.95 |
Source: Department of Labor. |
So, far from wages falling to keep pace with increases in living costs, real wages rose 108 percent in this thirty-year
period. Was the worker getting his "fair share," however, in the
general increase in production -- or was he getting a smaller share compared with, say, the owners of industry?
Dividing the Pie
Let us begin by looking at the sources of personal income. Of
the nation s total personal income of $801 billion in 1970, $570.5 billion, or
71 percent, was in wages and salaries and other labor income. Income from farming
came to $16.2 billion, or 2 percent; business and professional income was $51.4
billion, or 6.4 percent. Rental income received by persons was $22.7 billion, or
2.8 percent; dividends came to $25.2 billion, or 3.1 percent; interest received
by persons was $65.2 billion, or 8.1 percent. (Source: Economic Indicators,
June, 1971, Council of Economic Advisers.) If we total these last three items we
get $113.1 billion, or 14.1 percent, of "unearned" income. (The income
from farming and from business was partly "earned" and partly
"unearned," in undeterminable proportions.)
It is doubtful how much all this tells us about the
distribution of income between the "rich and the "poor. Total wage and
salary disbursements include the salaries of high-paid executives and of
television and motion-picture stars. On the other hand, rentals, dividends, and
interest payments include many millions of moderate-sized individual sums that
may represent the major part or the sole means of support of widows and orphans
and persons too old or too ill to work. (There are some 30 million American
stockholders, for example, and 25 million savings-bank accounts.)
A very significant figure, however, is the comparison of how
much the employees get from the corporations with how much the owners get. Let
us look first at a few facts about profits. In the five-year period 1965 to 1969
inclusive, all manufacturing corporations of the United States earned profits
after Federal income taxes of only 5.2 cents per dollar of sales. Manufacturing
corporation profits after taxes as a percentage of stockholders' equity look a
little better -- they averaged 12.3 percent for the same five years. (Source: Economic
Report of the President, February, 1971, p. 284.)
Both of these figures, however, overstate the real profits of
the corporations. In a period of continuous inflation like the present, the
corporations are forced by the tax laws to make inadequate deductions for
depreciation of plant and equipment, based on original cost, and not sufficient
to cover replacement costs. Profits as a percentage of equity are overstated for
still another reason: they are stated in dollars of depreciated purchasing power
compared with the dollars that were originally invested.
Lion's Share to Employees
What is more significant (and constantly forgotten) is that
the employees of the corporations draw far more from them than the owners. This
is exactly the opposite of what is commonly believed. Surveys by the Opinion
Research Corporation have found that the median opinion of those polled was that
the employees of American corporations receive only 25 cents out of each dollar
available for division between the employees and the owners, and that the
remaining 75 cents goes to profits. The facts are quite the opposite. In 1970,
for example, of the U. S. corporation income available for distribution between
the workers and the owners, nine-tenths went to the workers and only one-tenth
to the owners. Here is how, in billions of dollars, the division appeared over a
series of years:
DIVISION OF U.S. CORPORATE INCOME
BETWEEN EMPLOYEES AND STOCKHOLDERS |
Year |
Profits After Tax |
Payrolls |
% for Payroll |
1970 |
$36.4 |
$366.0 |
91.0 |
1969 |
40.0 |
350.5 |
89.8 |
1968 |
44.2 |
319.2 |
87.8 |
1967 |
43.0 |
291.8 |
87.2 |
1966 |
46.7 |
275.5 |
85.5 |
1960 |
24.8 |
188.8 |
88.4 |
1955 |
25.4 |
144.6 |
85.1 |
Derived from Office of Business Economics, U.S. Department of
Commerce. |
If we average out the five years from 1966 to 1970, we find
that compensation to employees came to 88.2 percent of the corporation income
available for division, and only 11.8 percent, or less than an eighth, went to
profits available for share owners.
So if American workers are being "exploited" by the
capitalists it is certainly not evident from the figures. One important fact
that the anticapitalist mentality so often forgets is that corporation earnings
do not constitute a common pool. If manufacturing corporations earn an average
of 12 percent on their equity, it does not mean that every corporation earns
this average profit margin. Some will earn 20 percent on equity, some 10
percent, some 3 percent -- and many will suffer losses. (Over a 40-year period an
average of 45 percent of companies -- by number -- reported losses annually. As a
general rule, small companies suffered losses more frequently than did the large
corporations.)
Another point to be kept in mind: When profits are large, it
does not mean that they are at the expense of the workers. The opposite is more
likely to be true. In 1932 and 1933, for example, the two years when the
nation's corporations as a whole showed a net loss, the workers also suffered
their worst years from unemployment and wage cuts. In a competitive capitalistic
economy, aggregate profits and aggregate wages tend to go up or down together.
It is to the long-run interest of the workers as well as of stockholders for
profits to be high.
A Look at Family Incomes
Turning from the sources of income, we come now to increases
in family incomes over recent years and to the division of income as between
various segments of the population. Because of rising prices, comparisons
between different years of family incomes in current dollars have little
meaning. Here is a comparison, however, of the percent distribution of white
families by income level, in constant (1968) dollars, between 1950 and 1968:
Family Income |
1950 |
1968 |
Under $3,000 |
23.4% |
8.9% |
$3,000-$4,999 |
26.8 |
11.0 |
$5,000-$6,999 |
22.9 |
14.3 |
$7,000-$9,999 |
16.6 |
24.0 |
$10,000-$14,999 |
10.2 |
26.1 |
$15,000andover |
10.2 |
15.7 |
Median income |
$4,985 |
$8,936 |
Source: U. S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. |
The sharp drop in the percentage of families with "constant incomes" under $3,000 is especially noteworthy. The rise in the over all "real" median income in this eighteen-year period was 79 percent.
The percent of aggregate income received by each fifth of the
number of families in the country, and the percent of aggregate income received
by the top 5 percent of families, has changed much less over the years, but such
change as has occurred has been toward a more equal distribution:
Families |
1947 |
1960 |
1968 |
Lowest fifth |
5.0% |
4.9% |
5.7% |
Second fifth |
11.8 |
12.0 |
12.4 |
Middle fifth |
17.0 |
17.6 |
17.7 |
Fourth fifth |
23.1 |
23.6 |
23.7 |
Highest fifth |
43.0 |
42.0 |
40.6 |
Top 5 percent |
17.2 |
16.8 |
14.0 |
Source: U. S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. |
If the reader wishes to know how the various fifths of the
population ranged in actual incomes in 1968, and in which fifth or bracket his
own family income fell, he can learn it from the following table:
Families |
Income Range |
% of Income Received |
Lowest fifth |
Under $4,600 |
5.7 |
Second fifth |
$4,600-$7,400 |
12.4 |
Middle fifth |
$7,400-$10,000 |
17.7 |
Fourth fifth |
$10,000-$13,500 |
23.7 |
Highest fifth |
$13,500 and over |
40.6 |
Top 5 percent |
$23,000 and over |
14.0 |
Top 1 percent |
$42,500 and over |
5.0 |
Derived from Herman P. Miller, Rich Man, Poor Man (Crowell, 1971), p. 15. |
How Government Intervention Affects Each Group
A study published on March 18, 1971 by two Census Bureau
statisticians, Herman P. Miller, director of the Census Bureau's population
studies, and Roger A. Herriot, concluded that the processes of government now
shift income from rich to poor with substantially greater effect than is
commonly believed. They contended that most families pay direct and indirect
taxes at about the same rate -- 30 percent -- regardless of income level; but that
when payments from government (such as unemployment insurance) are taken into
account, the result is a markedly progressive redistribution of income. For
example, families with earned income of less than $2,000 a year in 1968,
according to the study, paid an estimated 50 percent of their income for all
taxes -- but got back 106.5 percent in government payments. So their "net"
tax was not a tax at all, but a benefit of 57 percent. Families with over
$50,000 a year, meanwhile, paid 45 percent in total taxes and got back less than
1 percent. So their net tax was 44.7 percent of income. (6)
The income comparisons here presented fail to give any
support whatever to the socialist contention that under a capitalist system the
tendency is for the rich to get richer and for the poor to get poorer -- or at any
rate for the proportional "gap" between the rich and poor to increase. What
the figures show, on the contrary, is that in a healthy, expanding capitalist
economy the tendency is for both the rich and the poor to get richer more or
less proportionately. If anything, the position of the poor tends to improve
better than proportionately.
This becomes even clearer if, instead of merely comparing
incomes in terms of dollars, we look at the comparative gains of the poor that have been
brought about by the technological progress that has in turn to so large an
extent been brought about by capitalism and capital accumulation. As Herman P.
Miller has pointed out:
Looking back, there is good reason to wonder why the 1920s were ever regarded as a golden age.... Take for example a simple matter like electric power. Today electricity in the
home is taken for granted as a more or less inalienable right of every American.
Practically every home -- on the farm as well as in the city -- is electrified. Even on southern farms, ninety-eight out of every hundred homes have electricity. In 1930, nine out of every ten farm homes were without this "necessity."
And the country was much more rural than it is now.
A more striking example is provided by the presence of a toilet in the
home. ... As recently as 1940, about 10 percent of city homes and 90 percent
of farms lacked toilet facilities within the structure. This is not Russia or
China that is being described, but these United States only thirty years ago. (7)
Even the skeptical Paul Samuelson conceded in 1961 that "the American
income pyramid is becoming less unequal." (8)
Technological Progress
There can be little doubt that the technological progress of the last two
generations has meant more to the families at the bottom of this pyramid than to
those at the top. It is the overwhelming majority of Americans that now enjoy
the advantages of running water, central heating, telephones, automobiles,
refrigerators, washing machines, phonographs, radios, television sets -- amenities
that millionaires and kings did not enjoy a few generations ago.
Here are some of the figures of the percentage of American households owning
cars and appliances in 1969:
ANNUAL INCOME GROUPS |
|
All
Households |
Under $3,000 |
$3,000 - $3,999 |
One or more cars |
79.6% |
44.7% |
67.0% |
TV, B&W |
79.0 |
77.5 |
83.5 |
TV, Color |
31.9 |
9.5 |
16.9 |
Washing Machine |
70.0 |
49.8 |
60.9 |
Refrig. or freezer |
82.6 |
75.0 |
76.8 |
Source: U. S. Department of Commerce Bureau of the Census. |
In view of the fact that government statisticians officially
placed the "poverty threshold" for 1969 at $3,721 for a family of four, and
$4,386 for a family of five, the percentage of families with incomes less than
this who own cars and appliances is remarkable. In 1969, in addition, 90 percent
of all American households had telephone service.
To these figures on the distribution of physical appliances
we must add many intangibles. The most important of these is the enormous
increase in the number of those who have enjoyed the advantage of an education.
Broadly speaking, the percentage increase has been greatest for those at the
bottom of the pyramid. A century ago (1870), only 57 percent of all children
between 5 and 17 years of age attended school. By the turn of the century this
had risen to 76 percent, by 1920 to 82 percent, and by 1960 to 89 percent. It
was as low as this in 1960 only because children were starting school at 6 years
of age instead of at 5. Nearly 97 percent of all children between 7 and 17 years
of age were in school in 1960. Even more dramatic are the figures on schooling
at a higher level. In 1870, only 2 percent of the relevant age group graduated
from high school. This tripled to 6 percent by 1900, tripled again to 17 percent
by 1920, and again to 50 percent by 1940. It had reached 62 percent by 1956.
Enrollment in institutions of higher education -- junior colleges, colleges, and
universities -- was less than 2 percent of the relevant age group in 1870, and
more than 30 percent in 1960.(9)
Serving the Masses
The long-run historical tendency of capitalism has been to
benefit the masses even more than the rich. Before the Industrial Revolution the
prevailing trades catered almost exclusively to the wants of the well-to-do. But
mass production could only succeed by catering to the needs of the masses. And
this could be done only by dramatically reducing the costs and prices of goods
to bring them within the buying power of the masses. So modern capitalism
benefited the masses in a double way -- both by greatly increasing the wages of the
masses of workers and greatly reducing the real prices they had to pay for what
was produced.
Under the feudal system, and nearly everywhere before the Industrial Revolution, a man~s economic position was largely determined by the economic position of his parents. To what extent is this true in the United States of the present day? This is a difficult question to answer in quantitative terms, because one of the intangibles a man tends to "inherit" from his parents is his educational level, which so largely influences his adult earning power. But some of the partial answers we do have to this question are
surprising. Herman P. Miller tells us:
"In 1968 fewer than one family out of a hundred in the
top income group lived entirely on unearned income -- interest, dividends, rents,
royalties, and the like. The other ninety-nine did paid work or were
self-employed in a business or profession. Nearly all of these families were
headed by a man who worked at a full-time job. In 1968 over four-fifths of these
men worked full time throughout the year." (10)
They also seemed to work longer hours than the average
worker. Among the rich, also, "relatively few admit to having inherited a
substantial proportion of their assets. Even among the very rich -- those with
assets of $500,000 or more -- only one-third reported that they had inherited a
substantial proportion of their assets; 39 percent claimed to have made it
entirely on their own, and an additional 24 percent admitted to having inherited
a small proportion of their assets." (11)
International Comparisons
I have said nothing so far of the comparison of American
incomes with those of other nations. In absolute figures -- in gross national
product per capita, in ownership of passenger cars and TV sets, in use of
telephones, in working time required to buy a meal -- these comparisons have been
all heavily in favor of the United States. In 1968, the per capita gross
national product of the country came to $4,379, compared with $3,315 in Sweden,
$2,997 in Canada, $2,537 in France, $1,861 in the United Kingdom, $1,418 in
Italy, $1,404 in Japan, $566 in Mexico, and $80 in India. (12)
More immediately relevant to our subject is a comparison of
the distribution of income in the United States with that in other countries. In
this respect also the result has been largely in favor of the United States. A
comparison of conditions in the 195 0's made by Simon Kuznets found that the top
5 percent of families received 20 percent of the U. S. national income.
Industrialized countries like Sweden, Denmark, and Great Britain showed
approximately the same percentage. It was in the "underdeveloped" countries
where the greatest internal disparities existed in incomes. For example, in El
Salvador the top 5 percent of families received 36 percent of the national
income, in Mexico 37 percent, in Colombia 42 percent. This comparison is one
more evidence that capitalism and industrialization tend to reduce inequalities
of income.
I have entitled this article The Distribution of Income, and
have been using that phrase throughout; but I have done so with reluctance. The
phrase is misleading. It implies to many people that income is first produced,
and then "distributed" -- according to some arbitrary and probably
unjust arrangement.
A Misleading Phrase
Something like this idea appears to have been in the back of
the minds of the older economists who first began to arrange their textbooks
under these headings. Thus, Book I of John Stuart Mill's Principles of
Political Economy (1848) is entitled "Production," and Book II,
"Distribution." Mill wrote, at the beginning of this second book:
The principles which have been set forth in the first part of this Treatise are, in certain respects, strongly distinguished from those on the
consideration of which we are now about to enter. The laws and conditions of the
production of wealth partake of the character of physical truths. There is
nothing optional or arbitrary in them....
It is not so with the Distribution of Wealth. That is a matter of human
institution solely. The things once there, mankind, individually or
collectively, can do with them as they like.... The distribution of wealth,
therefore, depends on the laws and customs of society.
This distinction, if not altogether false, is greatly
overstated. Production in a great society could not take place -- on the farms, in
the extraction of raw materials, in the many stages of processing into finished
goods, in transportation, marketing, saving, capital accumulation, guidance by
price and cost and supply and demand -- without the existence of security, law and
order, and recognized property rights -- the same rules and laws that enable each
to keep the fruits of his labor or enterprise. Goods come on the market as the
property of those who produced them. They are not first produced and then
distributed, as they would be in some imagined socialist society. The
"things are not "once there. The period of production is never
completed, to be followed by some separate period of distribution. At any given
moment production is in all stages. In the automobile industry, for example,
some material is being mined, some exists in the form of raw materials, some in
finished or semifinished parts; some cars are going through the assembly line,
some are on the factory lots awaiting shipment, some are in transport, some are
in dealers' hands, some are being driven off by the ultimate buyers; most are in
use, in various stages of depreciation and wear and need of replacement.
Everyone Gains
In brief, production, distribution, and consumption all go on
continuously and concurrently. What is produced, and how much of it, and by what
method, and by whom, depends at all times on the relative sums that those
engaged in the process are receiving or expect to receive in profits or wages or
other compensation. Production depends no less than distribution on "the
laws and customs of society." If farmer Smith raises 100 bushels of potatoes and
farmer Jones 200 bushels, and both sell them for the same price per bushel,
Jones does not have twice as much income as Smith because it has been
"distributed" to him. Each has got the market value of what he produced.
It would be better to speak of the variation between
individual incomes than of their "distribution." I have used the latter term
only because it is customary and therefore more readily understood. But it can
be, to repeat, seriously misleading. It tends to lead to the prevalent idea that
the solution to the problem of poverty consists in finding how to expropriate
part of the income of those who have earned "more than they need" in order
to "distribute" it to those who have not earned enough. The real solution to
the problem of poverty, on the contrary, consists in finding how to increase the
employment and earning power of the poor.
Notes
* From the October 1971 issue of The Freeman.
1. See "The Problem of Poverty" in The Freeman, June 1971, pp. 325-6.
2. The Wealth of Nations, Book II, Ch. III.
3. Book I, Ch. I.
4. Principles of Economics, Eighth edition, pp. 3-4.
5. Based on estimates by the Department of Commerce expressed in constant (1958) dollars.
6. The estimate that families with earned incomes of less than $2,000 a year
paid a total in taxes of 50 percent of their income seems on its face extremely high, but I cite the conclusions of the study as given.
7. Rich Man, Poor Man (New York: Thomas Y. Crowell Co., 1971), pp. 44-45.
8. Economics: An Introductory Analysis, 5th edition (New York: McGraw
Hill Book Co.), p. 114.
9. Author's source: Rose D. Friedman, Poverty: Definition and Perspective (Washington: American Enterprise Institute, 1965), p. 11.
10. Rich Man,Poor Man, p. 150.
11. Ibid., p. 157.
12. Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1970, p. 810.
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